RBI Monetary Policy Review - August 2025
Stay informed with the latest RBI MPC meeting insights from August 6, 2025. Repo rate remains at 5.5%, with GDP growth and inflation forecasts updated.
Mumbai, Aug 6, 2025: The RBI MPC meeting was held on August 6, 2025. Below are key highlights for your quick reference:
Policy Rate Status:
• RBI kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.5%, with a unanimous vote by all six MPC members.
• Monetary policy stance remains ‘neutral’, as widely expected.
Growth Outlook:
• FY26 GDP growth forecast retained at 6.5%.
Quarterly GDP projections unchanged:
- Q1 FY26: 6.5%
- Q2 FY26: 6.7%
- Q3 FY26: 6.6%
- Q4 FY26: 6.3%
Q1 FY27 growth pegged at 6.6%.
• India’s GDP grew by 6.5% in FY25, with Q4 FY25 surprising on the upside at 7.4%.
• GDP data for Q1 FY26 to be released end of August.
Inflation Outlook – Sharp Downward Revisions:
• FY26 CPI inflation forecast cut to 3.1%, down from 3.7% projected in June.
Key quarterly revisions:
- Q2 FY26: 2.1% vs 3.4% earlier
- Q3 FY26: 3.1% vs 3.9% earlier
- Q4 FY26: Unchanged at 4.4%
- Q1 FY27: Seen rising to 4.9%
June 2025 CPI inflation hit a 77-month low of 2.1%, with Q1 FY26 averaging 2.7%.
Compiled by Bajaj Broking Research
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